Skip to main content

PMS 530-1

Personnel

Large Airtanker (LAT) Risk Assessments

Aircraft | Contracts | Operations | Personnel


SYSTEM:  Large Airtanker, Personnel

Sub-System Hazards Pre-Mitigation Mitigation Post-Mitigation

Probability

Severity

Risk Level

Probability

Severity

Risk Level

Pilot Training Lack of fire mission training and lack of proficiency flight time

Likely

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Ensure vendors utilize training programs such as CRM, risk management, and flight safety with the intent to standardize cockpit procedures. Provide NAFA training often to capture new pilots and allow for refresher training of all pilots. Provide adequate training opportunities with experienced pilots within the fire environment. Ensure adequate proficiency flight time is provided prior to starting on contract. During the contract period, vendors are responsible to ensure their pilots are proficient.

Possible

Critical

High

Human Factors The limited number of airtankers has resulted in more frequent travel and change of duty station, which increases stress and has a negative effect on crew quality of life

Almost Certain

Critical

Extremely High

Provide additional administrative support. Adhere to duty limits; implement Phase Duty Limitations as appropriate. Improve the management model for national deployment of the fleet. Add more airtankers.

Possible

Critical

High

Target fixation and tactical maneuvering errors

Likely

Catastrophic

High

Address airtanker pilot training and proficiency to reduce frequency of accidents. Ensure aircraft performance planning for successful outcome in a high rate of descent, level off, and climb out profile.  Provide adequate training time in fire environment.

Possible

Critical

High

Acceptance of high-risk missions as normal

Almost Certain

Catastrophic

Extremely High

Review existing policy/procedures and risk assessment during in brief and mission briefings. Utilize risk management tools, including Go/No-Go checklists. Educate personnel on the normalization of risk and complacency. Make mission decisions at the appropriate level. Ensure communication between operations and aviation personnel. Emphasize importance of situational awareness as a means for recognizing risk.

Unlikely

Catastrophic

High

Pilot/crew fatigue.

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Adhere to work/rest guidelines. Utilize interim flight and duty limitations/additional days off as authorized. Request personnel swap or additional crew members during peak fire activity. Ensure adequate pilot rest areas are available.

Unlikely

Critical

Medium

Culture ATBMs, users, contractors don't have full understanding of agency policies and procedures at different bases

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Ensure all users have access to Interagency policy and procedures. Follow SABO. Ensure communication between agencies. Attend the national ATBM workshop every three years.

Unlikely

Moderate

Medium

Can do philosophy has fostered aviation programs with high-risk operations

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Provide program oversight to assure risk is at lowest practicable level. Improve crew risk management.

Unlikely

Moderate

Medium

Inspections Operator's lack of quality assurance and inspection program results in non-compliance with contract airworthiness standards

Likely

Critical

Extremely High

Enforce QA program for improved oversight of the contracted fleet.

Unlikely

Moderate

Medium

Technology HAT underutilized resulting in task saturation

Possible

Moderate

Medium

Develop new technologies for the mission such as glass cockpit, synthetic vision, electronic target identification, laser targeting, etc. Utilize updated electronic equipment if possible [e.g., Traffic Collision Avoidance System (TCAS) and Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast in (ADS-B in)]. 

Possible

Negligible

Low

 

Download the Word version (docx) of this information and the Risk Assessment Matrix (pdf) to use with the Risk Assessment Worksheet (docx).

 

 

Last Modified / Reviewed:

NWCG Latest Announcements

Call for Nominations: Paul Gleason Lead by Example Award

Date: December 11, 2025
Questions? Please contact:
 Leadership Committee 

Do you know someone working in wildland fire who strives to make positive change and is undeterred by obstacles or setbacks? Now is your chance to give that person the acknowledgment they deserve by nominating them for a Paul Gleason Lead by Example Award.

This award, is presented by the NWCG Leadership Committee to remember Paul Gleason's contributions to the wildland fire community and to recognize individuals or groups that exhibit the same spirit and dedication to leadership – those who lead by example.

Nominations can be submitted via email with an attached Lead by Example Form to BLM_FA_Leadership_Feedback@blm.gov or through the online form

Tips for successful nominations and more information can be found on the Lead by Example webpage. All nominations must be submitted by December 31, 2025.

References:

Paul Gleason Lead By Example Award 

Paul Gleason Lead by Example Award Nomination Form 2025 

Leadership Committee 

Coming Soon! Ransom Road WFSTAR Module

Date: December 9, 2025
Questions about RT-130? 
Please contact: NWCG Audiovisual Specialist

On June 8, 1981, the Ransom Road Fire swept across Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge in Florida, marking a defining moment in wildland fire management. This event led directly to the creation of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's professional fire program.

Later this month, NWCG will release a compelling video that brings the Ransom Road Fire to life through firsthand accounts, official reports, and animated maps. Rob Lee, second on site during the deployment, shares his powerful recollections of that day. 

This video will be going live later this month in NWCG's RT-130, Wildland Fire Safety Training Annual Refresher (WFSTAR) Catalogue.

References:

WFSTAR Catalogue 

Wildland Fire Lessons Learned Center

2025-2026 Wildland Fire Leadership Campaign: "Leadership Levels" Now Available

Date: October 15, 2025
Questions? Please contact:
Leadership Committee

NWCG is excited to announce the release of the Leadership Committee’s 2025–2026 Leadership Campaign, themed “Leadership Levels.” This annual initiative offers all students of leadership and wildland fire management an opportunity to engage with essential leadership skills and knowledge needed to lead effectively in dynamic environments.

The campaign is structured into four quarters and may be completed at any time between October 1, 2025 -December 31, 2026. Leadership levels will be released quarterly.

Quarter One materials are now available on the Wildland Fire Leadership Development Program website and focus on Leadership Level 1, Follower (Self-Leadership).

References:

2025/2026 NWCG Leadership Campaign - Leadership Levels

Wildland Fire Leadership Development Program

Leadership Committee

Updated! L-280, Followership to Leadership (Instructor-led) Course

Date: October 3, 2024
Questions? Please contact:
Leadership Committee

NWCG is pleased to announce the updated L-280, Followership to Leadership (Instructor-led) course is now available. L-280 is intended for operational personnel at the Firefighter Type 1 level, and for individuals pursuing Leadership Level 2, New Leader. 

This instructor-led course is a primer on leadership and the second formal course in the Wildland Fire Leadership Development Program. It helps emerging leaders build the confidence, skills, and mindset needed to lead effectively in high-risk environments. 

For more information about leadership development and available courses, visit the Leadership Committee Web Portal.

References:

L-280, Followership to Leadership (Instructor-led)

Wildland Fire Leadership Development Program

Wildland Fire Learning Portal