National Wildfire Coordinating Group

2017 WOR Day 3: Getting Real About Expected Fire Behavior

Ribbon symbol for survivor next to the Wildland Fire Leadership logoWeek of Remembrance June 30-July 6, 2017


Fire Order #3:  Base all actions on current and expected behavior of the fire

Has a fire ever done something you didn’t expect it to do? It happens often.

graphic showing the shellrock fire 2000, the dude fire 1990, clear creek fire 2000, and the yarnell hill fire 2013.

On the Nuttall Fire in 2004 an entire Division was surprised by a downhill crown run which put fire below them.

"Not one person on this piece of line — or even the fire — EXPECTED a downhill crown run."   

Discuss the following questions:

  • Does this mean we should base all actions on current and UNexpected fire behavior?

  • How can you plan for UNexpected fire behavior?    


Want context from a real-life event? Watch and discuss Episode 2 of the Nuttall Fire Story video series here:



Week of Remembrance
Page Last Modified / Reviewed: 
Jun 2023

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