National Wildfire Coordinating Group

Probability of Ignition

Fuel Moisture Section

Concepts developed by Schroeder (1969) and adapted by Andrews, probability of ignition is estimated from:

  • Current temperature
  • Shading from either forest canopy or cloud cover
  • 1-hr fuel moisture content

Probability of Ignition. Combines influences of fine fuel moisture, dry bulb temperature, and shading.

 

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Page Last Modified / Reviewed: 
2021-07-08