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Firefighter Math: 8.7 Slope Effect on ROS

When fire moves upslope, the fuel ahead of the flame front is closer to the flame than if the slope were flatter.  This set-up "preheats" the fuels. The effects of slope on fire spread become greater as the slope increases. 

graphic showing slope effects on fire

APPROXIMATING THE ROS

An easy guide for approximately the ROS due to changes in slope is as follows:
1. The first tripling of slope roughly increases the rate of fire spread by a factor of 2. 
2. The second tripling of slope increases the rate of spread by a factor of 4 to 6, depending on fuel conditions. 

The effect of an increase in slope on ROS depends both on the absolute slope as well as on the midflame wind speed. See Section 8.2 for more information on midflame and "effective" wind speeds.

Example 1 - An area of shrubs is burning at a ROS of 4 chains per hour at an 8 percent slope. The slope increases to 24 percent. What will the ROS be? 

Step 1. How much did the slope change? The slope percent increased from 8 percent to 24 percent. This change represents an increase of three times the original slope.

Step 2. How much will this slope change affect the ROS? As stated above, a tripling of slope increases the ROS by a factor of 2. 
2 × 4 chains/hr = 8 chains/hr
 

4 chains/hr × 2 = 8 ch/hr

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Questions? 
Please contact: Equipment and Technology Subcommittee

The Logistics/Equipment Management Committee (LMC) has released Equipment Advisory 26-001: Potential Front Driveline Joint Failure on 2018 and Earlier Ram Pickups. This advisory highlights multiple U.S. Forest Service regions reporting front driveline joint failure incidents.

This advisory recommends firefighters and fire managers to: 

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References:

Equipment Advisory 26-001: Potential Front Driveline Joint Failure on 2018 and Earlier Ram Pickups

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NWCG Standard Operating Procedures, PMS 900

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Quarter Four materials focus on Leadership Level 4: Leader of Leaders (Provide Direction). Leadership Level 4 is where you are setting the conditions for others to do things well, even when you are not present. This quarter focuses on equipping experienced leaders with skills to provide direction, build trust across teams, and foster strong decision making. 

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Date:  June 30, 2026
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As we approach the 2026 Week of Remembrance (WOR), June 30–July 6, we dedicate this time to reflect on past incidents from 2016 and honor the fallen through learning. Since its inception in 2014, WOR has honored wildland firefighters who made the ultimate sacrifice while encouraging critical discussions that reinforce lessons learned.

Throughout the week, we encourage thoughtful and generative conversations that promote a culture of continuous learning and safety.

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2026 Week of Remembrance: Letter to Leadership

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